消费文化差异、自控力差异与贸易非均衡

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中央财经大学学报 ›› 2016, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (2) : 85-93.

理论经济

消费文化差异、自控力差异与贸易非均衡

覃松, 崔凡, 黄秀女

作者信息 +

Consumption Culture Bias,Self-regulation Bias and Trade Imbalance

QIN Song, CUI Fan, HUANG Xiu-nyu

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文章历史 +

摘要

国际贸易的非均衡问题长期以来备受关注。笔者提出消费文化差异及其居民自控能力差异会通过消费渠道影响进口需求,进而导致国际贸易非均衡状态的形成机制;通过建立贸易引力模型,采用全球33个国家和地区在1998—2007年间的面板数据,验证消费文化和居民自控能力对进口需求的影响。研究表明,儒家国家的进口消费需求比非儒家国家低38.7%,而且儒家国家居民由于较强的自控能力使得其进口消费需求在统计上显著小于非儒家国家,这可能是东西方国家产生贸易非均衡状态的重要原因。笔者还以总储蓄率为被解释变量建立模型,从储蓄方面验证了前边的假设,也同时证实了模型的稳健性,并根据研究结论在政治、经济和文化方面提出相应的政策建议。在政策实践层面上,国家间处理贸易非均衡问题时应充分考虑文化差异对贸易政策的扭曲影响,减少儒家文化对消费的过度抑制,而非儒家国家则要倡导适度理性消费,促进贸易可持续均衡发展。

Abstract

The problem of trade imbalance has always attracted attention widely.This paper explains that the difference in consumption culture and self-regulation ability have an effect on import demand by affecting consumers's behavior,further incur trade imbalance.This paper uses the panel data of 33 countries and regions from 1998 to 2007 to verify the influence of consumption culture and self-regulation ability via a gravity model.The result shows that countries with Confucian culture reveal 38.7% less import demand than countries with non-Confucian culture.Due to stronger self-regulation ability,residents in the countries with Confucian culture reveal less import demand than those without Confucian values and it is statistically significant.These might be the reasons for the imbalance in the international trade.Constructing the model with the aggregate saving rate as the dependent variable,the results are consistent with the preceding hypothesis about saving and the robustness of the model.Then we give the corresponding advice in aspects of politics,economics and culture.In policy,to tackle the trade imbalance,the distorted influence of culture difference to the trade policy should be taken into account,reducing the excessive inhibition of Confucian culture to consumption,and maintaining rational,moderate consumption to promote the sustainability and balanced development of trade in non-Confucian countries.

导出引用

覃松, 崔凡, 黄秀女. 消费文化差异、自控力差异与贸易非均衡[J]. 中央财经大学学报, 2016, 0(2): 85-93

QIN Song, CUI Fan, HUANG Xiu-nyu. Consumption Culture Bias,Self-regulation Bias and Trade Imbalance[J]. Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics, 2016, 0(2): 85-93

中图分类号： F740

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