在后金融危机时代,全球范围内的产业结构失衡正在深度调整,新技术研发和推广应用不断加快,主要发达国家纷纷调整自身发展战略以适应全球形势的新变化。笔者通过构建全球价值链分工演变的动力机制,并结合大量最新的实际案例分析发现:全球价值链分工呈现出不同于以往的新变化,个性化需求、新型生产模式变得越来越重要;在依赖传统优势参与国际分工的空间被压缩的同时,我国向先进制造模式转变、围绕需求变化实现创新发展的难度很大;不加选择地盲目跟从欧美国家的制造业发展战略,可能会陷入新一轮引进发展理念、发展路径和技术设备的追赶陷阱。基于上述分析判断,笔者认为发达国家倡导的先进制造模式并不完全适应于我国发展实际,我国需要立足自身产业发展的基础条件和现实需求,确立具有我国特色的技术进步方向和路径,寻求人才、机器、信息的最佳匹配,构建不同于发达国家的新型制造业体系。

In post-crisis era, the imbalance of industrial structure is facing deep adjustment all over the world. Development and application of new technologies is accelerating. Main developed countries have adjusted their development strategies in order to adapt to the new situations. Through constructing dynamic mechanism of global value chain change and analyzing a large number of practical cases,the article shows that the global value chain begins to form some new features which are different from the traditional division modes. Individual demand and new production modes are becoming more and more important. While the space of parti-cipating in international labor division is compressed,the difficulty of realizing innovational development based on demand change is very large. Following manufacture development strategies of developed countries blindly may drop into the introduction trap of development concept,development path and advanced technology. Based on the above study,the paper puts forward that China needs to seek the optimum combination of labor, machine and information, as well as establishing different paths of the technology progress with Chinese characteristics.